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BJD Finally Crumbling

Bhubaneswar: The Biju Janata Dal (BJD), which dominated Odisha’s political landscape for nearly a quarter of a century, is currently grappling with an unprecedented internal crisis. After losing power in the 2024 elections, the party’s transition into the role of the principal opposition has been marked by fractures in its once-impenetrable unity. The recent suspension of senior MLAs and public outbursts from veteran leaders suggest that Naveen Patnaik’s absolute authority is being tested for the first time.

The situation reached a boiling point in early 2026 with the high-profile suspension of two sitting MLAs, Sanatan Mahakud and Arabinda Mohapatra. This move has been interpreted by many as an attempt to stifle a growing rebellion, but it has instead intensified the sense of unease. Political Circle is agog with the News that circulating about the possible formation of a new regional front, potentially led by veteran figures like Bijay Mohapatra, which could lead to a significant exodus of disgruntled BJD members.

Several senior leaders have begun to openly question the party’s direction. Rajya Sabha member Debashish Samantaray recently sent a stinging letter to Shri Patnaik, alleging that the party has moved away from the core values of its founder, Biju Patnaik. This public display of defiance is a stark departure from the disciplined, top-down culture that defined the BJD during its 24 years in power.

The current instability is the result of several converging factors that have weakened the party’s internal structure.

Loss of Power and Patronage: For over two decades, the BJD functioned as a well-oiled machine fueled by the perks of power. Deprived of the ability to provide government patronage, the party’s rank and file are feeling demoralized and vulnerable. Many leaders, accustomed to being in government, are finding it difficult to adapt to the role of an opposition cadre.

The Pandian Factor: Despite V. K. Pandian’s official exit from active politics, a significant section of the party believes he continues to exert behind-the-scenes influence over Shri Patnaik’s decisions. This perceived “outsider” control remains a major point of contention for veteran leaders who feel sidelined in favor of a bureaucratic style of management.

Leadership Transition and Age: Naveen Patnaik has been the undisputed face and sole vote-getter for the BJD since its inception. However, as he nears 80, concerns regarding the lack of a clear, charismatic successor have created a vacuum. Without a second-rung leadership that commands state-wide respect, ambitious regional satraps are beginning to assert their own independent identities.

BJP’s Rising Influence: The Governing BJP in Odisha is actively working to consolidate its position, often by attracting dissatisfied BJD leaders. The perception that the BJD is unable to protect its own interests or effectively challenge the current government has led many legislators to look for alternative political futures.

Strategic Disconnect: There is growing criticism within the party that the leadership has failed to conduct a proper post-mortem of the 2024 electoral defeat. Instead of implementing grassroots reforms, the party has relied on disciplinary actions, which many view as a sign of weakness rather than strength.

In conclusion, the BJD is at a critical crossroads. The “Naveen Magic” that once papered over all internal differences is no longer sufficient to hold the various factions together. Unless the party can reinvent its organizational structure and address the grievances of its veterans, it faces the real risk of a major split that could permanently alter the political map of Odisha.