The extremely severe cyclonic storm ‘Amphan’, presently raging over the Bay of Bengal, has intensified into a Super Cyclone and is expected to move in a northerly direction and subsequently recurve north-north-eastward before making landfall between Digha in West Bengal and Hatiya in Bangladesh on May 20, the Centre for Environment and Climate (CEC), SOA Deemed to be University here, said.
The system, which was lying about 780 km south of Paradip, took shape of a Super Cyclone --- last experienced in Odisha in 1999--- at around 11.30 am on Monday, Director, CEC Dr SC Sahu said.
As the system is very strong, the forecast could change from time to time keeping in view the changes in meteorological factors obtaining at that time, he said.
Different models indicated that it was likely to move northward for some time and then re-curve towards the West Bengal-Bangladesh border packing a maximum sustained wind speed of 155 to 165 km per hour gusting to 185 km per hour.
The landfall is expected anytime between 2.30 pm and 5.30 pm on May 20.
But some other models continued to suggest that the system would move north-northwestward before taking a north-northeastward path up to the Odisha coast. Amphan, whose track could be very close to Puri, Jagatsinghpur and Kendrapara districts, could cross the coast somewhere between Bhadrak- Balasore districts in north Odisha in the afternoon of May 20.
Under its influence, moderate to heavy rainfall might occur in the districts of Malkangiri, Koraput, Rayagada, Gajapati, Ganjam, Puri and Jagatsinghpur from Monday night.
But heavy to very heavy rainfall could occur at many places with possibility of extremely heavy precipitation at a few places in the districts of Gajapati, Ganjam, Puri, Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Jajpur, Bhadrak, Balasore, Mayurbhanj and Keonjhar on May 19 and 20.
Moderate to heavy with isolated heavy rainfall was likely in the districts of Nayagarh, Khurda, Cuttack, Rayagada, Dhenkanal, Kandhamal and Angul.