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Near Normal Monsoon

Bishnupada Sethi, Special Relief Commissioner (SRC) is happy as it is expected that India is likely to receive ‘Near Normal’ Monsoon rains in 2019.


Mr.Sethi said that India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s first long-range forecast for the South West Monsoon on 15 April said that El-Nino conditions will weaken in coming months.

The onset of the South West monsoon over India will be around the end of May and it will delivers about 70 percent of India’s Annual Rainfall between June and September.
 
During last Monsoon Season, Odisha received cumulative rainfall from 1 June, 2018 up to 30 September, 2018,   1292.2 MM against the Long Term Average (LTA) of 1144.3 MM registering a surplus of 12.9 per cent, Mr.Sethi said.

He said that Kalahandi, Puri, Malkangiri, Kendrapara, Jajpur, Khordha, Jagatsinghpur, Bhadrak, Cuttack, Koraput and Rayagada  - received surplus rainfall more than 19 per cent during the period.
 
The remaining 19 districts received normal rainfall during last Monsoon.
 
IMD said that during June-September monsoon season is likely to see 96 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA) rainfall.
 
The IMD says that average or normal rainfall is between 96 percent and 104 percent of a 50-year average of 89 cm for the entire four-month season.
 
However earlier Skymet predicted that the monsoon could start sluggishly this year due to the El Nino weather phenomenon.

Lower rainfall could increase the price of food, which is weighted at nearly half of the consumer inflation index, and could potentially push the Reserve Bank of India to raise interest rates.

Monday’s IMD’s forecast will be followed by a second long-range forecast in June, which would include predictions for each of the meteorological sub-divisions.
 


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